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• Updated Energy Projections Contacts

Updated Energy Projections (UEP)

The most recent updated energy and carbon emissions projections have informed the Energy White Paper (May 2007) and replace the projections published in July 2006. Information on the latter is available on the Previous Projections web page.

The UEP exercise providing updated energy and CO2 emissions projections began in April 2003 to inform the National Allocation Plan of the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) UK National Allocation Plan (Phase I). Other policy informed by the projections includes, the UK Climate Change Programme Review (May 2006), the Energy Review (July 2006) and the EU ETS UK National Allocation Plan (Phase II).

Projections Advisory Group (PAG) to UEP

An expert advisory group, set up by the Department for Trade & Industry (DTI, now BERR) meets from time to time to consider largely technical matters related to the process of energy modelling and the production of UEP projections. This is known as the Projections Advisory Group (PAG). All material relevant to the PAG, including minutes of meetings, a list of members and terms of reference, can be found on the Projections Advisory Group web pages.

Key modelling assumptions of UEP

Fossil fuel price and other key assumptions are revised from time to time and published with each updated set of projections.
The most recent fossil fuel price assumptions are published and available below with the latest projections and are the result of a previous consultation based on the assumptions used in the previous projections.

As energy markets move on, and especially in a period of price volatility, it is important to keep such assumptions under review.

For any enquiries regarding energy and emissions projections, please email the BERR modelling team at: emissionsprojections@berr.gsi.gov.uk.